The war in IRAQ

Did you every look at a situation and just say Wow.....
A hard core liberal friend was lamenting the U.S. responsibility for everything wrong on the planet. All bad things are the fault of George Bush. I thought about his passionate rants, but concluded that George Bush was dealing with the symptoms. He is not the cause.

Yes we are responsible for the cause, sort of….

Let’s roll the clock back to 1948 when imperial rule in the Middle East ends, and throughout most of the world. The U.S. under the leadership of Harry Truman sought to end the reach and power of empires including France, Germany and Britain. Prior to the end of WWII, Germany fielded SS divisions originating from middle-eastern states including Iraq, Iran, Syria, Jordan… There is a reason the president of Iran says Hitler was a good man stopped short of achieving his goals.

http://notendur.centrum.is/~snorrigb/mufti4.htm

Now for our responsibility, we ended imperialism and required paying the middle-eastern Islamic dictatorships for their oil. Trillions of dollars have been pumped into the middle-east and have found their way into radical regimes. These funds are the stimulus for terrorism and dreams of world domination. We foolishly thought they would use the money to raise the standard of living of their people.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/opec.html">http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/opec.html

Roll the clock forward, 1960 and the “Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) was founded in Baghdad, Iraq, in September 1960”. The sale and distribution of oil is now a monopoly.

…..Wow this is the only area in the current world where we have an inverted market. Instead of consumers driving competition for goods and services, we have suppliers driving competition to purchase. How stupid is that? Without our money they have oil. Oil is difficult to eat, doesn’t drink well. You can’t drive it, or wear it. After only a few days of production, if distribution stopped, virtually every OPEC member would be dealing with over flowing storage tanks and panic shutdown of wells. Without oil money, dictators would be herding goats, not buying a their 61st palace on the French Riviera. The ironic part of all this is that the consuming countries make and support the market, including ocean born distribution.

Problem:
The problem is an unrestricted consumer oil market with restricted competition to oil supply. The resultant runaway revenue is being used to fund terrorism and military aggression. The Middle-East is a collection of surrogates, manipulated conveniently by Islamic leaders. Fighting a ground war against Iraq and replacing Saddam Hussein sends a clear message that we can replace a dictator. This is the same message that the Islamic brotherhood sends when removing one of their dictators such as Anwar al-Sadat. Beyond the message, the winning of a war against any one surrogate is immaterial.

It doesn’t matter who we leave in power. As soon as we leave, the Islamic brotherhood will assassinate them, and empower their favorite dictator. Each time we extend our stay as part of nation building we simply lose face. We appear weakened by compassion. Each loss of face must be offset by an increasing show of force, to earn back "respect". This is a game which only extends the power struggle. We need to either show overwhelming force to the entire region, or define terms under which the struggle is redefined.

Solution:

1) Ending the current military confrontation(symptomatic).

As Theodore Roosevelt said "Walk softly and carry a big stick".

Walking softly will require funding Iraq "restoration" projects without U.S. oversight and meddling. Our presence should become nearly invisible within the next 12 months.

We have currently shown overwhelming force in Iraq via the surge. Our point has been made, respect has been earned. The Islamic dictators have turned to attacking softer targets such as France(last summer). We should position a strong strike force in Kurdistan or Northern Iraq. We must migrate a large portion of our naval forces to the the ocean areas ajacent to the middle east as part of preparations for a possible naval blockade. This force will be the big stick.

2) Restoring balance to the world's oil market(causal).

The more interesting and effective question is redefining the struggle.

Redefining the struggle requires forming a cartel equivalent to OPEC, but which is consumer based. This cartel will define the terms under which our market and distribution services may be accessed, the pricing for oil and terms under which payment will be rendered. The consumer cartel will control the oceans and distribution of oil. Just as OPEC forms the basis for financial and global terrorism, our cartel will form the basis for control of OPEC's financial and global terrorism. The key to this solution is 100% control of the oceans and willingness of member nations to withold payments.

Joint naval operations will escort oil tankers to their designated ports for product delivery. Oil deliveries will be catalogued and invoiced. Payments will be net 90 days. All payments currently in the “pipeline” will be witheld for 90 days. Payments will be released pending verification of supplier conformance to the consumer cartels policies. OPEC is free to enter into negotiations with the cartel regarding pricing. Proceeds from oil sales will be reduced to cover the reparation costs of world wide terrorism. This will constitute a tax on the world's richest dictators to assist the victims of their terrorism.

This will be tough to implement, for the first 180 days or so. OPEC's dictators will not take kindly to anyone challenging their monopoly. Consumers will try to cheat, under the influence of heavy OPEC incentives. Terrorist attacks will ramp up. The end is worth the means. Staying the course will restore balance to the world's oil market and eliminate the need for future military confrontation. Military confrontation is simply the George Bush's response to the symptom of an out of balance oil market.


This solution requires:
1) Oil consumer cartel to have and maintain control of the oceans (done),
2) Willingness of member countries to suffer an initial delay in oil deliveries (stock up before hand),
3) A military presence in the middle east (Iraq or Kurdistan done),
4) Willingness of member countries to manage float on a trillion dollars or so(done)
5) Willingness to play hard ball with religious dictators (there will be an initial increase in terrorism) particularly in European countries

George